108. Allan and Beth currently have $2 and $3, respectively. A fair coin is tossed. If the...
Question:
108. Allan and Beth currently have $2 and $3, respectively.
A fair coin is tossed. If the result of the toss is H, Allan wins $1 from Beth, whereas if the coin toss results in T, then Beth wins $1 from Allan.
This process is then repeated, with a coin toss followed by the exchange of $1, until one of the two players goes broke (one of the two gamblers is ruined).
We wish to determine To do so, let s also consider ai P(Allan wins he starts with $i) for i 0, 1, 3, 4, and 5.
a. What are the values of a0 and a5?
b. Use the law of total probability to obtain an equation relating a2 to a1 and a3. Hint: Condition 0
a2 P1Allan is the winner 0 he starts with $2 2 P1D 0 B2 ¨ C2 c P1C 0 B1 2 P1C 0 B2 2, 1D 0 B1 ¨ C2 on the result of the rst coin toss, realizing that if it is aH, then from that pointAllan starts with $3.
c. Using the logic described in (b), develop a system of equations relating ai (i 1, 2, 3, 4) to ai1 and ai1. Then solve these equations. Hint:
Write each equation so that ai ai1 is on the left hand side. Then use the result of the rst equation to express each other ai ai1 as a function of a1, and add together all four of these expressions (i 2, 3, 4, 5).
d. Generalize the result to the situation in which Allan s initial fortune is $a and Beth s is $b.
Note: The solution is a bit more complicated if p P(Allan wins $1) .5.
Step by Step Answer:
Modern Mathematical Statistics With Applications
ISBN: 9780534404734
1st Edition
Authors: Jay L Devore