Calculate the country’s Misery Index (unemployment + inflation) and then use it like an interest differential to forecast the future spot exchange rate, one year into the future.

a. Japanese yen to U.S. dollar exchange rate in one year

b. Japanese yen to Australian dollar exchange rate in one year

c. Australian dollar to U.S. dollar exchange rate in one year

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Gross Domestic Product Industrial Unemployment Production Rate Forecast Forecast Country Latest Qtr Qtr* 2007e 2008e Recent Qtr Latest Australia 4.3% 3.8% 4.1% 3.5% 4.6% 4.2% Japan 1.6% -1.2% 2.0% 1.9% 4.3% 3.8% United States 1.9% 3.8% 2.0% 2.2% 1.9% 4.7% Consumer Prices Interest Rates Forecast 3-month 1-yr Govt Country Year Ago Latest 2007e Latest Latest Australia 4.0% 2.1% 2.4% 6.90% 6.23% Japan 0.9% -0.2% 0.0% 0.73% 1.65% United States 2.1% 2.8% 2.8% 4.72% 4.54% Trade Balance Current Account Current Units (per US$) Country Last 12 mos (billion $) Last 12 mos Forecast 07 (billion $) (% of GDP) Oct 17th Year Ago Australia -13.0 -$47.0 -5.7% 1.12 1.33 Japan 98.1 $197.5 4.6% 117 119 United States -810.7 -$793.2 -5.6% 1.00 1.00