The organizing company of the famous rapper Sean Pauls concert in Dubai has decided to print shirts

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The organizing company of the famous rapper Sean Paul’s concert in Dubai has decided to print shirts to be sold in the event. The company decision is to either print 5,000, 10,000, or 20,000 shirts. The expected profit from selling the shits is directly proportional to the number of attendees. The following table represents the expected payoff in United Arab Emirates Dinar (AED) for each decision under each of the different possible state of nature. L01 NUMBER OF ATTENDEES ALTERNATIVES 10,000 20,000 40,000 Print 5,000 shirts 100,000 100,000 100,000 Print 10,000 shirts 75,000 200,000 200,000 Print 20,000 shirts 25,000 150,000 400,000 If the probability of 10,000 attendees is 0.25, the probability of 20,000 attendees is 0.4, and the probability of 40,000 attendees is 0.35, determine:

a) The alternative that provide the maximum expected monetary value (EMV).

b) The expected value of perfect information (EVPI).

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Operations Management Sustainability And Supply Chain Management

ISBN: 9781292295039

13th Global Edition

Authors: Jay Heizer, Barry Render, Chuck Munson

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