5.5. Consider a stochastic process that evolves according to the following laws: If X,, = 0, then...

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5.5. Consider a stochastic process that evolves according to the following laws: If X,, = 0, then X,,+, = 0, whereas if X,, > 0, then

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(a) Show that X,, is a nonnegative martingale.

(b) Suppose that X0 = i > 0. Use the maximal inequality to bound Pr{X ? N for some n ? OIXO = i}.
Note: X,, represents the fortune of a player of a fair game who wagers $1 at each bet and who is forced to quit if all money is lost (X,, = 0). This gambler's ruin problem is discussed fully in III, Section 5.3.

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An Introduction To Stochastic Modeling

ISBN: 9780126848878

3rd Edition

Authors: Samuel Karlin, Howard M. Taylor

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