4. Name several variables besides those mentioned in the case that could be used as good predictors...
Question:
4. Name several variables besides those mentioned in the case that could be used as good predictors of daily sales in each cafe.
With the growth of Hard Rock Cafe—from one pub in London in 1971 to more than 163 restaurants in 68 countries today—
came a corporatewide demand for better forecasting. Hard Rock uses long-range forecasting in setting a capacity plan and intermediate-term forecasting for locking in contracts for leather goods (used in jackets) and for such food items as beef, chicken, and pork. Its short-term sales forecasts are conducted each month, by cafe, and then aggregated for a headquarters view.
The heart of the sales forecasting system is the point-of-sale (POS) system, which, in effect, captures transaction data on nearly every person who walks through a cafe’s door. The sale of each entrée represents one customer; the entrée sales data are transmitted daily to the Orlando corporate headquarters’ database. There, the financial team, headed by Todd Lindsey, begins the forecast process. Lindsey forecasts monthly guest counts, retail sales, banquet sales, and concert sales (if applicable) at each cafe. The general Video Case managers of individual cafes tap into the same database to prepare a daily forecast for their sites. A cafe manager pulls up prior years’
sales for that day, adding information from the local Chamber of Commerce or Tourist Board on upcoming events such as a major convention, sporting event, or concert in the city where the cafe is located. The daily forecast is further broken into hourly sales, which drives employee scheduling. An hourly forecast of $5,500 in sales translates into 19 workstations, which are further broken down into a specific number of waitstaff, hosts, bartenders, and kitchen staff. Computerized scheduling software plugs in people based on their availability. Variances between forecast and actual sales are then examined to see why errors occurred
Step by Step Answer:
Operations Management: Sustainability And Supply Chain Management
ISBN: 9780135225899,9780135202722
13th Edition
Authors: Jay Heizer; Barry Render; Chuck Munson