Sales of Volkswagen’s popular Beetle have grown steadily at auto dealerships in Nevada during the past 5 years (see the table). The sales manager had predicted before the new model was introduced that first year sales would be 410 VWs. Using exponential smoothing with a weight of a 5 .30, develop forecasts for years 2 through 6.

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YEAR SALES FORECAST 1 450 410 2 495 3456 518 563 584 ?