Question
Consider a scenario where an individual faces a choice between a good life choice and an ungood life choice. Both option result in a risky
Consider a scenario where an individual faces a choice between a “good” life choice and an “ungood” life choice. Both option result in a risky health situation, although the risk is conditional on the choice made. There is also a guaranteed positive benefit ($U) from making the ungood life choice. The tables below depict odds and costs associated with each choice:
Good:
Probability | Cost | |
Healthy | 0.99 | 0 |
Sick | 0.01 | -1000 |
Ungood:
Probability | Cost | |
Healthy | 0.8 | 0 |
Sick | 0.2 | -1000 |
Given these situations, how much must you value the guaranteed positive benefit ($U) to rationally choose the Ungood choice?
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