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1. According to the Chronicles of Contrived Statistics (March, 2016), the probability that scientists from Area 51 will begin selling pet aliens in the next

1. According to the Chronicles of Contrived Statistics (March, 2016), the probability that scientists from Area 51 will begin selling pet aliens in the next month is 36%. The probability that either Elon Musk will offer you a free trip to space or that scientists will begin sales of pet aliens next month is 43%. Finally, they list that probability of both happening in the next month is 33%. What is the probability that Elon Musk will offer you a free trip into space in the next month?

2. Given P(A) = 0.47, P(B) = 0.41, and P(A or B) = 0.88, are events A and B mutually exclusive?

3. Given the following probability distribution, what is the expected value?

Outcome P(Outcome)
31 0.12
25 0.08
2 0.06
14 0.21
40 0.00
6 0.53

4. In a certain year, 11,805 professional train pushers are diagnosed with carpal tunnel. The top cities for such diagnoses are Tokyo with 2,083, Osaka with 3,080, and Kyoto with 1,867. If a professional train pusher recently diagnosed with carpal tunnel is randomly selected, what is the probability that they are from somewhere other than Tokyo, Kyoto or Osaka?

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