1.

Consider the following time series data:

Month	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9
Value	24	13	20	12	19	23	15	?	?

Develop a three-week moving average for this time series.

____ What is your 8th-month value?

____ What is your 9th-month value?

____ Compute for MSE for 8th month.

____ Use smoothing constant of .20 to compute the 8th-month value. (2 decimal places only)

____ Use smoothing constant of .20 to compute the 9th-month value.

2.

Consider the following data series:

Month	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9
Value	24	13	20	12	19	23	15	?	?

Identify if your forecast values are Accurate, Overestimated, Underestimated. Use A for accurate, O for overestimated and U for underestimated.

____ Week 3

____ Week 4

____ Week 5

____ Week 6

____ Week 7