1. Discuss your reaction for the following conservatism bias scenarios Question 1: Suppose that you live in Baltimore, Maryland, and you make a forecast such as, "I think it will be a snowy winter this year." Furthermore, suppose that, by mid-February, you realize that no snow has fallen. What is your natural reaction to this information? a. There's still time to get a lot of snow, so my forecast is probably correct. b. There still may be time for some snow, but I may have erred in my forecast. c. My experience tells me that my forecast was probably incorrect. Most of the winter has elapsed; therefore, the cumulative amount of snow is not likely to be significant. Question 2: When you recently hear news that has potentially negative implications for the price of an investment you own, what is your natural reaction to this information? a. I tend to ignore the information. Because I have already made the investment, I've already determined that the company will be successful. b. I will reevaluate my reasons for buying the stock, but I will probably stick with it because I usually stick with my original determination that a company will be successful. c. I will reevaluate my reasoning for buying the stock and will decide, based on an objective consideration of all the facts, what to do next