Question
1. Go to the U.S. Treasury website here and look up the daily yield curve rates. Note that the rates are reported as percentages, so
1. Go to the U.S. Treasury website here and look up the daily yield curve rates. Note that the rates are reported as percentages, so 0.35 should be read as 0.35% or r = 0.0035.
(a) Report the yields for the one, two, and three-year Treasury notes. Is the yield curve upward or downward sloping? According to the expectations theory, what does this say about investors beliefs regarding short term interest rates?
(b)Although we cannot know what future bond yields will be, we can look back in time and check whether investors past beliefs were confirmed. Report the historical yields for the same Treasury notes from dates one, two, and three years ago. Do the expectations indicated by the historical yield curves line up with the actual movement of interest rates?
(c)For each of the previous years, use the one and two-year spot rates to calculate the one-year forward rate one year from that date and check how it compares to the actual one-year spot rate from the following year.
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