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1% of women of age 40 who participate in routine screenings have breast cancer. 80% of women with breast cancer will get positive mammogra-

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1% of women of age 40 who participate in routine screenings have breast cancer. 80% of women with breast cancer will get positive mammogra- phies. 10% of women without breast cancer will also get positive mam- mographies. A woman in this age group had a positive mammography in a routine screening. Is it likely that she actually has breast cancer?

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