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1 . Suppose you want to infer expected future exchange rates in a lessdeveloped country that has free - market - determined interest rates but

1. Suppose you want to infer expected future exchange rates in a lessdeveloped country that has free-market-determined interest rates but
does not have a forward exchange market. Is there any other way of
inferring expected future exchange rates? Under what assumptions?
2. a. Show that there is a direct relationship between the forward premium
and the real interest rate differential between two currencies.
b. Under what conditions will the forward premium equal the
expected inflation differential between two currencies?
3. Give four reasons why, when interest parity does not hold exactly, we
are unable to take advantage of arbitrage to earn profits.
4. Suppose the one-year interest rate on British pounds is 11 percent,
the dollar interest rate is 6 percent, and the current $/d spot rate is
$1.80.
a. What do you expect the spot rate to be in one year?
b. Why can we not observe the expected future spot rate?
5. Assume that the one-year interest rate in the U.S. is 2% and the oneyear interest rate in Sweden is 4%. Is there a premium or discount on
the Swedish krona?
6. If two countries had identical term structures of interest rates, what is
the expected future exchange rate change between the two
currencies?

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