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1 . Suppose you want to infer expected future exchange rates in a lessdeveloped country that has free - market - determined interest rates but
Suppose you want to infer expected future exchange rates in a lessdeveloped country that has freemarketdetermined interest rates but
does not have a forward exchange market. Is there any other way of
inferring expected future exchange rates? Under what assumptions?
a Show that there is a direct relationship between the forward premium
and the real interest rate differential between two currencies.
b Under what conditions will the forward premium equal the
expected inflation differential between two currencies?
Give four reasons why, when interest parity does not hold exactly, we
are unable to take advantage of arbitrage to earn profits.
Suppose the oneyear interest rate on British pounds is percent,
the dollar interest rate is percent, and the current $d spot rate is
$
a What do you expect the spot rate to be in one year?
b Why can we not observe the expected future spot rate?
Assume that the oneyear interest rate in the US is and the oneyear interest rate in Sweden is Is there a premium or discount on
the Swedish krona?
If two countries had identical term structures of interest rates, what is
the expected future exchange rate change between the two
currencies?
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