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10) Consider the disaster risk decision tree model. (a) Derive a formula to represent the amount that the probability of all suppliers being disrupted simultaneously,

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10) Consider the disaster risk decision tree model. (a) Derive a formula to represent the amount that the probability of all suppliers being disrupted simultaneously, P(n), will increase if the super-event probability S is doubled. (b) Test your formula by computing the amount of increase if the original S equals 1% and there are two suppliers, each with U-4%

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