Question
12. At every one of the Toronto BlueJay's home games, little Johnny is there with his baseball mit. He wants to catch a ball hit
12. At every one of the Toronto BlueJay's home games, little Johnny is there
with his baseball mit. He wants to catch a ball hit into the stands. Years
of study have suggested that the probability is .0001 that a person sitting
in the type of seats Johnny and his dad sit in will have the opportunity to
catch a ball during any game. Johnny is just turned six years old before the
season started. If he goes to every one of the 81 home games from the start
of the current season until he is 15 years old, what is the probability that
he will have the opportunity to catch a ball.
13. A club has 100 members, 30 of whom are lawyers. Within the club,
25 members are liars and 55 members are neither lawyers nor liars. What
proportion of the lawyers are liars?
14. The following is the probability distribution for an exam where students
have to choose one of two questions. The pass mark is 3 points or more.
5 4 3 2 1
Q1 .1 .1 .1 .2 0.0
Q2 0.0 .2 .1 .1 .1
a) Derive the marginal marks probability distribution.
b) What is the probability that a randomly selected student will pass?
(.6)
c) Given that a randomly selected student got 4 marks, what is the probability that she did question 2?
15. Suppose you are on a game show and you are given the opportunity to
open one of three doors and receive what ever is behind it. You are told
that behind one of the doors is a brand new Rolls Royce automobile and
behind the other two doors are goats. You pick a particular door?say door
number 1?and before the host of the show, who knows what is behind each
door, opens that door he opens one of the other doors?say door number
3?behind which is a goat. He then gives you the opportunity to stay with
door number 1, which you originally chose, or switch your choice to door 2.
Should you switch?
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