12-13 NEW PROJECT ANALYSIS Holmes Manufacturing is considering a new machine that costs $285,000 and would reduce pretax manufacturing costs by $90,000 annually. The new machine will be fully depreciated at the time of purchase. Management thinks the machine would have a value of $23,000 at the end of its 5-year operating life. Net operating work- ing capital would increase by $25,000 initially, but it would be recovered at the end of the project's 5-year life. Holmes's marginal tax rate is 25%, and a 10% WACC is appropriate for the project. a. Calculate the project's NPV, IRR, MIRR, and payback. b. Assume management is unsure about the $90,000 cost savingsthis figure could deviate by as much as plus or minus 20%. What would the NPV be under each of these situations? c. Suppose the CFO wants you to do a scenario analysis with different values for the cost savings, the machine's salvage value, and the net operating working capital (NOWC) requirement. She asks you to use the following probabilities and values in the scenario analysis: Scenario Probability Cost Savings Salvage Value NOWC Worst case 0.35 $ 72,000 $18,000 Base case 0.35 90,000 108,000 23,000 28,000 $30,000 25,000 20,000 Best case 0.30 Calculate the project's expected NPV, its standard deviation, and its coefficient of variation. Would you recommend that the project be accepted? Why or why not? 12-13 NEW PROJECT ANALYSIS Holmes Manufacturing is considering a new machine that costs $285,000 and would reduce pretax manufacturing costs by $90,000 annually. The new machine will be fully depreciated at the time of purchase. Management thinks the machine would have a value of $23,000 at the end of its 5-year operating life. Net operating work- ing capital would increase by $25,000 initially, but it would be recovered at the end of the project's 5-year life. Holmes's marginal tax rate is 25%, and a 10% WACC is appropriate for the project. a. Calculate the project's NPV, IRR, MIRR, and payback. b. Assume management is unsure about the $90,000 cost savingsthis figure could deviate by as much as plus or minus 20%. What would the NPV be under each of these situations? c. Suppose the CFO wants you to do a scenario analysis with different values for the cost savings, the machine's salvage value, and the net operating working capital (NOWC) requirement. She asks you to use the following probabilities and values in the scenario analysis: Scenario Probability Cost Savings Salvage Value NOWC Worst case 0.35 $ 72,000 $18,000 Base case 0.35 90,000 108,000 23,000 28,000 $30,000 25,000 20,000 Best case 0.30 Calculate the project's expected NPV, its standard deviation, and its coefficient of variation. Would you recommend that the project be accepted? Why or why not