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13.4 VAR and VEC models are popular forecasting models because they rely on the past history of observed outcomes to predict the expected future values.

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13.4 VAR and VEC models are popular forecasting models because they rely on the past history of observed outcomes to predict the expected future values. (a) Consider the following estimated VAR model: 7 = 81137-1+ 81217-1+ VI X, = 621.)1-1+ 822-17-1 + 12 What are the forecasts for yr+1 and Xit1? What are the forecasts for y,+2 and x/42? (b) Consider the following estimated VEC model: Ayr = an()-1 - BIX-1) + vi Ax, = 021 ()-1 - BI-1) + v21 What are the forecasts for yr+ 1 and xi+1? What are the forecasts for y,42 and x +2

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