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2. Jodi wants to lease a new car and start a part time business to give people car rides. She has contacted three automobile dealers

2. Jodi wants to lease a new car and start a part time business to give people car rides. She has contacted three automobile dealers for pricing information. Each dealer offered Jodi a closed-end 36-month lease with no down payment due at the time of signing. Each lease includes a monthly charge and a mileage allowance. Additional miles receive a surcharge on a per-mile basis. The three dealers provided the details about the monthly lease cost, the mileage allowance, and the cost for additional miles.

Jodi is not sure how many miles she will drive over the next three years for this business but she believes it is reasonable to assume that she will drive 10,000 miles per year, 14,000 miles per year, or 18,000 miles per year. With this assumption, Jodi estimated her total profit for the three lease options. The three lease options and the associated profits for each are given below:

Dealer 10000 Miles 14000 Miles 18000 Miles

A $ 7000 $10500 $13500

B $ 8500 $11500 $11000

C $10000 $ 9500 $ 9800

Determine the optimal decision to lease the car from a dealer and the profit associated with it by using the following decision criteria.

a. Maximax

b. Maximin

c. Equal likelihood

d. Minimax regret criterion.

3. For the problem given in Question 2, the probabilities are given by P(10000 miles) = 0.5, P(14000 miles) = 0.3 and P(18000 miles) = 0.2.

a. Compute the expected value for each decision and select the best one.

b. Compute the expected regret value for each decision and select the best one.

c. Calculate and interpret the expected value of perfect information.

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