Answered step by step
Verified Expert Solution
Link Copied!

Question

1 Approved Answer

#2) Suppose you are convinced that the log of Intel's quarterly sales is not covariance stationary (it has a unit root) and decide to model

image text in transcribed
image text in transcribed
#2) Suppose you are convinced that the log of Intel's quarterly sales is not covariance stationary (it has a unit root) and decide to model it using an ARII) model. You use: In (5.1...) 'in (sacs.-.) = I + 61 [In (Salem) In (shawl + e. Table 3 shows the results of that regression. Table 3 Quarterly Observations, January l985Deocmbcr 1999 rStatistic 3.0875 2.4620 rSmusuc' ' 0. 1 088 0.6624 0.4 506 Regression Statistics Rsquared 0.0946 Standard error 0.0758 Observations 60 Durbin Watson 1 .9709 Coefcient Standard Error lump: 0.03 52 0.0 I 14 Lag 1 0.3064 0. 1244 Autumn-relations of the Rosidual Lag Aucocomcladon Standard Error 1 0-0 140 0. I 29 1 2 0-0355 0.1291 3 0.0532 0.1291 4 0.2 125 0. I 29 l A) Analyze the results of the regression? B) What conclusion can we make about the autocorrelations in the residuals? l .6463 C) What does this suggest about the model? Are the coefficients statistically significant? 0) How can we interpret the estimated coefficients in the model? E) Suppose we wanted to use this model at the end of the fourth quarter of 1999 to predict Intel's sales for the first quarter of 2000. Let us say that t is the fourth quarter of 1999, so t -1 is the third quarter of 1999 and t +1 is the first quarter of 2000. In the third quarter of 1999, Intel's sales were $7,328 million, in the fourth quarter of 1999, Intel's sales were $8,212 million. What would be the prediction for sales in the first quarter of 2000 be

Step by Step Solution

There are 3 Steps involved in it

Step: 1

blur-text-image

Get Instant Access to Expert-Tailored Solutions

See step-by-step solutions with expert insights and AI powered tools for academic success

Step: 2

blur-text-image

Step: 3

blur-text-image

Ace Your Homework with AI

Get the answers you need in no time with our AI-driven, step-by-step assistance

Get Started

Recommended Textbook for

Discrete Mathematics With Applications

Authors: Susanna S Epp, Robert Gatewood,

4th Edition

1133168663, 9781133168669

More Books

Students also viewed these Mathematics questions

Question

4. What means will you use to achieve these values?

Answered: 1 week ago