Question
2006 the State of Indiana in the USA sold a 75-year concession to operate and maintain the East-West Toll Road. Before doing so, it commissioned
2006 the State of Indiana in the USA sold a 75-year concession to operate and maintain the East-West Toll Road. Before doing so, it commissioned a consulting report that estimated the value of the concession. Table 1 shows the forecasted cash flow from the toll road.
Table 1 Forecasted cash flows (million $)
2006-2015 | 2016-2025 | 2026-2035 | 2036-2045 | 2046-2055 | 2056-2065 | 2066-2075 | 2076-2081 | |
Revenues | 1,746.6 | 2,604.6 | 3,908.2 | 5,453.6 | 7,588.6 | 10,749.0 | 14,656.2 | 11,797.9 |
Expenditures | ||||||||
General operating | 468.8 | 771.0 | 1,267.8 | 2,084.9 | 3,428.6 | 5,638.3 | 9,272.1 | 8,227.9 |
Repairs and renovations | 577.8 | 705.2 | 839.4 | 1,011.2 | 1,231.2 | 1,512.7 | 1,873.1 | 1,337.8 |
Total expenditures | 1,046.6 | 1,476.2 | 2,107.2 | 3,096.1 | 4,659.8 | 7,151.0 | 11,145.2 | 9,565.7 |
Revenues over expenditures | 700.0 | 1,128.4 | 1,801.0 | 2,357.5 | 2,928.8 | 3,598.0 | 3,511.0 | 2,232.2 |
The above discount rate was chosen by the consultant of the report on the assumption that it was the interest rate the State of Indiana paid on its bonds. Do you agree with that assumption? Explain your answer
The present value of the concession using a discount rate of 6%. Cash flows are reported in Table 1 for each ten-year block up until 20662075 with the last block as five years (20762081).
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