Answered step by step
Verified Expert Solution
Question
1 Approved Answer
24. Textbook Sales. The quarterly sales data (number of copies sold) for a college text- book over the past three years are as follows:
24. Textbook Sales. The quarterly sales data (number of copies sold) for a college text- book over the past three years are as follows: Year 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 Quarter 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 Sales 1,690 940 2,625 2,500 1,800 900 2,900 2,360 1,850 1,100 2,930 2,615 a. Construct a time series plot. What type of pattern exists in the data? b. Use a regression model with dummy variables as follows to develop an equation to account for seasonal effects in the data: Qtr1 = 1 if quarter 1, 0 otherwise; Qtr2 = 1 if quarter 2, 0 otherwise; Qtr3 = 1 if quarter 3, 0 otherwise. c. Based on the model you developed in part (b), compute the quarterly forecasts for the next year. d. Let 1 refer to the observation in quarter 1 of year 1; 1 = 2 refer to the observa- tion in quarter 2 of year 1; ...; and r = 12 refer to the observation in quarter 4 of year 3. Using the dummy variables defined in part (b) and 1, develop an equation to account for seasonal effects and any linear trend in the time series. e. Based upon the seasonal effects in the data and linear trend, compute the quarterly forecasts for the next year. f. Is the model you developed in part (b) or the model you developed in part (d) more effective? Justify your answer.
Step by Step Solution
There are 3 Steps involved in it
Step: 1
Get Instant Access to Expert-Tailored Solutions
See step-by-step solutions with expert insights and AI powered tools for academic success
Step: 2
Step: 3
Ace Your Homework with AI
Get the answers you need in no time with our AI-driven, step-by-step assistance
Get Started