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2.Assume that the following regression model was applied to historical quarterly data: e t = a 0 + a 1 INT t + a 2

2.Assume that the following regression model was applied to historical quarterly data:

et= a0+ a1INTt+ a2INFt+ t

where et=percentage change in the exchange rate of the Japanese yen in period t

INTt=average real interest rate differential (U.S. interest rate - Japanese interest rate) over period t

INFt=inflation differential (U.S. inflation rate - Japanese inflation rate) in period t

a0, a1, a2=regression coefficients

t=error term

Thus, the estimated regression equation is as follows:

^

et= 0.001 + 0.90 INTt+ 0.80 INFtR2 = 0.85

(0.01)(0.02)(0.30)

Please answer the questions below.

a.If the real interest rate differential was 2%, predict the change in the exchange rate. Which assumption are you making?

b.If the inflation differential was 1%, predict the change in the exchange rate. Which assumption are you making?

c.If the real interest and inflation rate differentials were 1% and 2% respectively, predict the change in the exchange rate

d.What is the meaning of the R-squared?

e.Finally, determine which regression coefficients are statistically significant

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