Question
3. Dataset Final_Q2_ColorTV records the annual sales (in millions) and price levels of Color TV in 1961-1970, the first ten years since its launch. Assume
3. Dataset "Final_Q2_ColorTV" records the annual sales (in millions) and price levels of Color TV in 1961-1970, the first ten years since its launch. Assume consumers do not repeat purchase. Answer the following questions by estimating the Generalized Bass Model.
Year | Time | Sales | Price |
1961 | 1 | 0.147 | 610 |
1962 | 2 | 0.438 | 566 |
1963 | 3 | 0.747 | 555 |
1964 | 4 | 1.463 | 551 |
1965 | 5 | 2.646 | 560 |
1966 | 6 | 5.118 | 535 |
1967 | 7 | 5.777 | 525 |
1968 | 8 | 5.982 | 521 |
1969 | 9 | 5.962 | 515 |
1970 | 10 | 4.631 | 505 |
a. Explain how GBM uses effective time to account for the impact of prices on the
diffusion process of Color TV.
b. Estimate the GBM for Color TV. How many consumers will eventually adopt
Color TV according to the result?
c. Predict the total already adoptions for Color TV in 1975. Suppose the price of
Color TV is 450 in 1975. [Hint: You need to first calculate the effective time of
year 1975 for Color TV.]
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