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3. Forecasting stock value Understanding the Returns From Investing When buying stock, you can expect to earn money through future current income (from > and

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3. Forecasting stock value Understanding the Returns From Investing When buying stock, you can expect to earn money through future current income (from > and future capital appreciation (from ). Together, your total earnings from a given investment can be expressed in terms of the approximate expected return. This value makes it easier for you to compare investment options Understanding the Approximate Expected Return Equation The formula for the approximate expected return of an investment can look intimidating, but it's really just a function of three things: (1) average annual current income, (2) average capital gains, and (3) the average value of the investment. Based on the information in the table, compute each of these values for the two stocks over a 3-year period and enter the values into the bottom half of the table. Stock 1 Stock 2 $3.05 $1.35 $55 $106 Average annual dividends (over three years) Current stock price Projected future stock price (in three years) Average annual current Income (CI) Average annual capital gains (CG) Average value of the investment (VI) $67 $136 5 Next, derive the correct formula for approximate expected return by correctly arranging these three variables in the equation that follows: Approximate Expected Return Understanding the Approximate expected Return Equation The formula for the approximate expected return of an investment can look intimidating, but it's really just a function of three things: (1) average annual current income. (2) average capital gains, and (3) the average value of the investment. Based on the information in the table, compute each of these values for the two stocks over a 3-year period and enter the values into the bottom half of the table. Stock 1 Stock 2 $3.05 $1.35 Average annual dividends (over three years) Current stock price Projected future stock price in three years) Average annual current income (CI) Average annual capital gains (CG) Average value of the investment (VI) $55 $67 $106 $136 $ Next, derive the correct formula for approximate expected return by correctly arranging these three vartables in the equation that follows Approximate Expected Return Using this formula, you can see that the approximate expected return for Stock Ils and the approximate expected return for Stock 2 is True or False: For these investments to be equally attractive, Stock I must carry lower risk than Stock 2 True False

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