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4. Suppose that in the target zone between the Hong Kong and the US dollars the log price of the USD in HKD is given
4. Suppose that in the target zone between the Hong Kong and the US dollars the log price of the USD in HKD is given by: 2 = gxt + gEtStH, where x; = m; mj. Also suppose that z; can be described as a discrete random variable. It can take on the values 1 or 3, each with probability 0.5, and is independently distributed over time. (a) Find the two possible values of s;. (b) Find the variance of z; and the variance of s;. (c) If UIP holds, find the two possible values of the international interest rate differential, iy i;. Also find the value of the log forward exchange rate f
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