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45 48 51 54 57 60 63 66 69 Number of successes A candidate claims that he has 70% support from the general electorate. A

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45 48 51 54 57 60 63 66 69 Number of successes A candidate claims that he has 70% support from the general electorate. A random sample of 80 likely voters is taken, and 48 of them (60%) say that they support the candidate. In order to conduct a statistical analysis, the One Proportion applet was used to create 100 simulated statistics. Use the dot plot generated by the applet (pictured above) to answer the following questions. a) There are 100 dots in the simulated distribution. What does each dot represent? 0 The proportion of people who support the candidate in a sample of 80 people, if we assume that 60% ofthe population supports the candidate. 0 The proportion of people who support the candidate in a sample of 100 people, if we assume that 70% ofthe population supports the candidate. 0 The proportion of people who support the candidate in a sample of 80 people, if we assume that 70% ofthe population supports the candidate. 0 The proportion of people who support the candidate in a sample of 80 people, if we don't know the percent of people in the population who support the candidate. b) If we switched to "proportion of successs" in the applet, then what value would the distribution be centered at? O 0.6 O 56 O 48 O 0.7 C) Is the observed statistic "usual/expected" or is it "unusual/unexpected" in this simulated distribution of sample statistics? 0 Unusual/unexpected because it is in the tail of the distribution. 0 Usual/expected because 60% is pretty close to 70%. O Usual/expected in this distribution. cl) Which ofthe following conclusions is the most accurate to make based on our observed statistic? 0 Because our statistic is usual/expected, it is plausible that the candidate has 70% support in the population, 0 We conclude that the candidate has 70% support in the population. 0 We conclude that the candidate has 60% support in the population. 0 Because our statistic is unusual/unexpected, we have strong evidence that the candidate does not have 70% support in the population

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