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A company is considering whether to develop and market a particular product. There is 40% probability that the research and development department will come up

A company is considering whether to develop and market a particular product. There is 40% probability that the research and development department will come up with a viable product, and a 60% probability that the product will be scrapped. The cost of undertaking the research and development is N$200 000.

If the product development is successful, the company will build a plant. The product demand is unknown, and the company has the choice of building a large or small plant. The expected demand and net present value is shown below:

High demandLow demand
ActionProbability 75%Probability 25%
Large PlantN$1 600 000N$400 000
Small PlantN$1 000 000N$1 000 000

Advise the company on the most beneficial course of action using a decision tree.

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