Answered step by step
Verified Expert Solution
Question
1 Approved Answer
5. You have developed a set of criteria for evaluating distressed credits. Companies that do not receive a passing score are classed as likely
5. You have developed a set of criteria for evaluating distressed credits. Companies that do not receive a passing score are classed as likely to go bankrupt within 12 months. You gathered the following information when validating the criteria: Forty percent of the companies to which the test is administered will go bankrupt within 12 months: P(nonsurvivor) = 0.40. Fifty-five percent of the companies to which the test is administered pass it: P(pass test) = 0.55. The probability that a company will pass the test given that it will subsequently survive 12 months, is 0.85: P(pass test | survivor) = 0.85. A. What is P(pass test | nonsurvivor)? B. Using Bayes' formula, calculate the probability that a company is a survivor, given that it passes the test; that is, calculate P(survivor | pass test). C. What is the probability that a company is a nonsurvivor, given that it fails the test? D. Is the test effective?
Step by Step Solution
There are 3 Steps involved in it
Step: 1
Get Instant Access to Expert-Tailored Solutions
See step-by-step solutions with expert insights and AI powered tools for academic success
Step: 2
Step: 3
Ace Your Homework with AI
Get the answers you need in no time with our AI-driven, step-by-step assistance
Get Started