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A $1,000 municipal bond is in danger of default, and you are a bond-holder trying to sell the asset at a fair price. The municipality
A $1,000 municipal bond is in danger of default, and you are a bond-holder trying to sell the asset at a fair price. The municipality is facing uncertainty in the face of decreasing tax revenues, but is expected to repay the bond in its entirety with probability 0.74. There is also a (1-0.74) probability of paying back only $942. Current market conditions indicate a 5.8% risk-free rate of return and a 6.2% market risk premium, and the bond has a beta of 0.1. What would you conclude is a fair CAPM market price, in dollars, for this bond?
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