Question
A commercial movie producer CMP is evaluating a script offered by a new movie director Mr. Mod. In the commercial movie industry, it is well-known
A commercial movie producer CMP is evaluating a script offered by a new movie
director Mr. Mod. In the commercial movie industry, it is well-known that a new
director's work has only 20% chance of success. If CMP's investment in making a
movie by adopting Mr. Mod's script is successful, then it will generate a net profit
of $20,000,000 to CMP. Otherwise, it will incur to CMP a net loss of $7,000,000
if failed. CMP is also considering whether to hire an independent movie critic
IMC to peruse Mr. Mod's script and to assess the chance of success of investing in
making a movie by adopting Mr. Mod's script. IMC maintains quite good records
of 75% and 80% correct predictions of successful and unsuccessful movies. IMC
demands a charge of $1,000,000 for conducting this assessment job. By estimating
the expected monetary value of acquiring IMC's service, advise whether CMP
should hire IMC.
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