A developer plans to start construction of a building in two years if, at that point, rent levels make construction feasible. At that time, the building will cost $1,000,000 to construct. During the first year after construction (year 3), there is a 50% chance that NOI will be $150,000 and a 50% chance that the NOI will be $75,000. In either case, NOI would be expected to increase at 4% per year thereafter. What is the value of the real option on the vacant land today if the relevant discount rate is 14% ? 109,649 137,369 192,367 96,183