A doctor is performing on her patient, a 55 year old man. Statistically, 18% of men his age have some form of heart disease. When the doctor performs a blood pressure test the doctor finds that he has high blood pressure. Most men with heart disease have high blood pressure, approximately 90%. However, at age 55 high blood pressure is quite common; even 72% of men who do not have heart disease have high blood pressure. What should she tell her patient? Has the doctor established that the patient has heart disease?

Choose the correct option below.

Select one:

A.

The blood pressure test is evidence that the patient has heart disease, so now the doctor should believe that the patient has heart disease.

B.

The probability that the patient has heart disease is small even after seeing the blood pressure test, so the test is not really providing evidence.

C.

The strength factor of this evidence is less than one because 18% is smaller than 90%.

D.

The prior odds that the patient had heart disease are 18.

E.

The strength factor of this evidence is greater than one because 90% is bigger than 72%.

Solve it correctly please. I will rate accordingly with multiple votes. This is my last attempt. So dit correctly and fast please.