A eady B 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 First ETF Choice Second ETF Choice Third ETF Choice Fourth ETF Choice Instructions 0008 C SPY VEA XLF USO XLE VWO TLT XLK XLI XLV 2 4 6 8 D IS&P 500 ETF Developed Markets Financial Select Sector United States Oil Energy Select Sector Emerging Markets 20+ Year Treasury Bond Technology Select Sector Industrial Select Sector Health Care Select Sector Developed Markets United States Oil Emerging Markets Technology Select Sector >< E Interest rate (x) Probability of the rate (P) Interest rate (x) Probability of the rate (P) Interest rate (x) Probability of the rate (P) Interest rate (x) First 5 Second 5 F choices 2 4 6 8 -4.0% 0.10 -3.0% 0.35 -2.5% 0.30 -0.5% G Developed Markets United States Oil Emerging Markets Technology Select Sector -2.0% 0.20 -1.5% H 0.20 -4.5% 0.10 5.0% Points Possible: 5.0% 0.30 0.5% 0.25 5.0% 0.25 2.0% 5 3.0% 0.40 2.0% 0.20 1.5% 0.35 0.0% 0.0% 0.00 0.0% 0.00 0.0% 0.00 0.0%