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A grocery store sells the following number of frozen turkeys during the week prior to Thanksgiving: TURKEYS SOLD Day Prev. Wk Forecast Monday 80 85.00

A grocery store sells the following number of frozen turkeys during the week prior to Thanksgiving:

TURKEYS SOLD
Day Prev. Wk Forecast
Monday 80 85.00
Tuesday 53 84.00
Wednesday 65 77.80
Thursday 43 75.24
Friday 85 68.79
Saturday 101 71.95

a. Prepare a forecast of sales for each day, starting with F1=85 and a=2

b. Compute MAD and the tracking signal in each period. Use MAD0=0

c. On the basis of the criteria given in the text, are the MAD and tracking signal within tolerance?

d. Recompute parts a and b using a=.1, .3, and .4. Which value of a provides the best forecast?

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