Question
A manufacturing company must decide whether to manufacture a component part. The consulting profit is dependent upon the demandfor the product. The following show the
A manufacturing company must decide whether to manufacture a component part. The consulting profit is dependent upon the demandfor the product. The following show the projectedprofit( in thousands of dollars).
Low demand | Medium demand | High demand | |
Decision Alternative | S1 | S2 | S3 |
Manufacture, d1 | -20 | 40 | 100 |
Purchase, d2 | 10 | 45 | 70 |
P(S1)= 0.35
P(S2)=0.35
P(S3)=0.3
1) use EVPI to determine whether the company should attempt to obtain a better estimate of demand.
2)A market study of the potential demand for the product is expected to report a favorable (F) or unfavorable (U) condition
P(F|S1)=0.1
P(F|S2)=0.4
P(F|S3)=0.6
what is the probability that the market research report will be favorable?
3)what is the expected value of sample information (EVSI)?
Please only type answer on word document
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