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A medical device dealer in the local area wants to make an accurate forecast of demand for Super Sonic II Wheelchairs during the next month.Because

A medical device dealer in the local area wants to make an accurate forecast of demand for Super Sonic II Wheelchairs during the next month.Because the manufacturer is in Japan, it is difficult to send wheelchairs back or reorder if the proper number is not ordered a month in advance.From past sales records, the dealer has accumulated the following data on the Super Sonic II Wheelchairs over the past year:

Month Wheelchair Sales

January 9

February 7

March 10

April 8

May 7

June 12

July 10

August 11

September 12

October 10

November 14

December 16

  • Compute a 3-month moving average forecast of demand for April through January (of the next year).
  • Compute a 5-month moving average forecast of demand for June through January.
  • Compare the two forecasts of the 3-month and 5-month using MAD.Which forecast method should the dealer use?

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