Question
A pharmaceutical company has spent $200 million to date working on a blood pressure treatment. It has to decide whether to spend another $200 million
A pharmaceutical company has spent $200 million to date working on a blood pressure treatment. It has to decide whether to spend another $200 million today to get final approval from the FDA in two years. Once approved, expected profits will be $25 million for the foreseeable future. The firm's cost of capital is 10%.
1.Based on the work below, should the firm proceed?
Value =$25,000,000
.10
= $250,000,000
NPV =$250,000,000
(1 + .10)2
= $206,611,570.25
2.Suppose many doctors do not see any advantage of using the drug over what they currently prescribe for patients and the profit stream is only $20 million per year. Based on the work below, should the firm proceed?
Value =$20,000,000
.10
= $200,000,000
NPV =$200,000,000
(1 + .10)2
= $165,289,256.20
3.Going back to the original information, suppose there is a delay of a year in getting FDA approval. Based on the work below, should the firm proceed?
Value =$25,000,000
.10
= $250,000,000
NPV =$250,000,000
(1 + .10)3
= $187,828,700.23
4.Going back to the original information, how much could the firm spend today and still move forward?
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