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A portfolio consists of two bonds. The credit VAR is defined as the maximum loss due to defaults at a confidence level of 98% over

A portfolio consists of two bonds. The credit VAR is defined as the maximum loss due to defaults at a confidence level of 98% over a one-year horizon. The probability of joint default of the two bonds is 1.27%, and the default correlation is 30%. The bond value, default probability, and recovery rate are $1,000,000, 3%, and 60% for one bond, and $800,000, 5%, and 40% for the other. What is the expected credit loss of the portfolio?

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