Question
A relatively young bank is growing rapidly in terms of overall customer acquisition. Majority of these are Liability customers with varying sizes of relationship with
A relatively young bank is growing rapidly in terms of overall customer acquisition. Majority of these are Liability customers with varying sizes of relationship with the bank. The customer base of Asset customers is quite small, and the bank WANTS to grow this base rapidly to bring in more loan business. Specifically, it wants to explore ways of converting its liability customers to Personal Loan customers.
A campaign the bank ran for liability customers last year showed a healthy conversion rate of over 9% successes. This has encouraged the Retail Marketing department to design a new model of customer behavior to analyze what combination of parameters make a customer more likely to accept a personal loan?
Data Description
ID | Customer ID |
Age | Customer's age in completed years |
Experience | #years of professional experience |
Income | Annual income of the customer ($000) |
Family | Family size of the customer |
CCAvg | Avg. spending on credit cards per month ($000) |
Education | Education Level. 0: Undergrad; 1: Advanced/Professional |
Mortgage | Value of house mortgage if any. ($000) |
Securities Account | Does the customer have a securities account with the bank? |
CD Account | Does the customer have a CD account with the bank? |
Online | Does the customer use internet banking facilities? |
CreditCard | Does the customer use a credit card issued by the bank? |
Personal Loan | Did this customer accept the personal loan offered in the last campaign? |
The entire data set is given in Sheet1. Use XL Miner for this problem.
- Bin the continuous variables as follows:
Age | 5 bins of equal width |
Experience | 5 bins of equal width |
Income | 6 bins of equal width |
CCAvg | 3 bins of equal width |
Mortgage | 5 bins of equal count |
- Partition the data into 60% training and 40% validation set.
- Run Naïve Bayes’ with detailed report only for validation set.
- Compute the probability of the two classes (0 = Not accept personal loan, 1 = accept personal loan) for the first case in the validation data set. (see Sheet1)
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