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A species of butterfly has three subspecies A, B, and C. A scientist is trying to classify observed. specimens into these subspecies based on

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A species of butterfly has three subspecies A, B, and C. A scientist is trying to classify observed. specimens into these subspecies based on the color of their wings, which can be blue, green, pink, or orange. Unfortunately, butterflies of each species can have wings of any of the colors, but with different probabilities. The scientist is using a published set of probabilities to apply a Bayes classifier. To calculate the posterior probability that a butterfly is a species. Given that its wings are blue, the published data gives the following probabilities: P(blue | A) = 0.2 P(A) = 0.4 P(blue) = 0.05 The scientist thinks that these probabilities cannot possibly be correct. Is she right? Yes No

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