A stock had annual returns of 4.8 percent, -11.6 percent, 18.2 percent, and 7.4 percent over the past four years. Which one of the following best describes the probability that this stock will produce a return of 30percent or more in a single year?

99 percent or more

95 percent or more

Less than .5 percent

Less than 1 percent but more than .5 percent

Less than 2.5 percent but more than .5 percent