Question
A trust officer at the Blacksburg National Bank needs to determine how to invest $100,000 in the following collection of bonds to maximize the annual
A trust officer at the Blacksburg National Bank needs to determine how to invest $100,000 in the following collection of bonds to maximize the annual return.
Bond | Yield | Maturity | Risk | Task free |
A | 9.50% | LONG | 0.996 | YES |
B | 8.00% | SHORT | 0.55 | YES |
C | 9.00% | LONG | 0.368 | NO |
D | 9.00% | SHORT | 0.775 | NO |
E | 9.00% | LONG | YES |
With the low risk score of bond E being uncertain, The officer wants the average risk score for his investments to be less than 0.50. The officer wants to invest at least 50% of the money in short-term. At least 30% of the funds should go in tax-free investments, and at least 40% of the total annual return should be tax free.
The trust officer needs to determine his investments before realizing the risk in Bond E, whether he chooses to invest in Bond E or not. Formulate the stochastic problem faced by the trust officer assuming that the risk of Bond E follows a normal distribution. Solve the problem under two cases: (1) One where the normal distribution has a mean 0.5 and standard deviation 0.15. (2) Another where the normal distribution has a mean 0.5 and standard deviation 0.01. In both these settings, do the following:
- In excel find the optimal investment decision.
- Compare the optimal decisions with the mean value solution and interpret. Specifically, comment on the role of standard deviation of the underlying normal distribution.
- When the standard deviation is 0.15, change the unit penalty to understand the trade-off between infeasibility and return, and provide recommendations on what value of looks reasonable to use in practice.
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