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A U.S. firm holds an asset in France and faces the following scenario: State 1 State 2 State 3 State 4 Probability 25% 25% 25%

A U.S. firm holds an asset in France and faces the following scenario:

State 1

State 2

State 3

State 4

Probability

25%

25%

25%

25%

Spot rate

$1.29/

$1.22/

$1.17/

$1.15/

P *

1700

1500

1200

1100

In the above table, P * is the euro price of the asset held by the U.S. firm. What is the variance of the spot rate (X.XXXXX)

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