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A VC has a target rate of 70% per annum, makes an investment of $2.0 million today, and foresees an exit of $60 million in

A VC has a target rate of 70% per annum, makes an investment of $2.0 million today, and foresees an exit of $60 million in five years. The exit value includes the $2.0 million investment. There are currently 250,000 shares.

a The probability of success (exit at $60 million) is 15% and the probability of failure (exit at $0) is 85%. What is the expected IRR?

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