Question
Aaron owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Falcon Freight Company (FF) and Pheasant Pharmaceuticals (PP). Three-quarters of Aarons portfolio value consists of FFs shares,
Aaron owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Falcon Freight Company (FF) and Pheasant Pharmaceuticals (PP). Three-quarters of Aarons portfolio value consists of FFs shares, and the balance consists of PPs shares.
Each stocks expected return for the next year will depend on forecasted market conditions. The expected returns from the stocks in different market conditions are detailed in the following table:
Market Condition | Probability of Occurrence | Falcon Freight | Pheasant Pharmaceuticals |
---|---|---|---|
Strong | 0.25 | 32.5% | 45.5% |
Normal | 0.45 | 19.5% | 26% |
Weak | 0.30 | -26% | -32.5% |
Calculate expected returns for the individual stocks in Aarons portfolio as well as the expected rate of return of the entire portfolio over the three possible market conditions next year.
The expected rate of return on Falcon Freights stock over the next year is . | |
The expected rate of return on Pheasant Pharmaceuticalss stock over the next year is . | |
The expected rate of return on Aarons portfolio over the next year is . |
The expected returns for Aarons portfolio were calculated based on three possible conditions in the market. Such conditions will vary from time to time, and for each condition there will be a specific outcome. These probabilities and outcomes can be represented in the form of a continuous probability distribution graph.
For example, the continuous probability distributions of rates of return on stocks for two different companies are shown on the following graph:
Based on the graphs information, which of the following statements is true?
Company A has a smaller standard deviation.
Company B has a smaller standard deviation.
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