All American Telephones Inc. is considering the production of a new cellphone. The project will require an investment of $13 million. If the phone is well received, the project will produce cash flows of $8 million a year for 3 years, but if the market does not like the product, the cash flows will only be $2 million per year. There is a 50% probability of both good and bad market conditions. All AMerican can delay the project a year while it conducts a test to determine whether demand will be strong or weak. The delay will not affect the dollar amounts involved project's investment or its cash flows- only their timing. Because of the anticipated shifts in technology, the 1-year delay means that cash flows will continue only 2 years after the initial investment is made. All-American's WACC is 8%. What action do you recommend?

- show the cash flow timeline and NPV for the base case (singular cashflow)

- show the cash flow timeline, NPV for well received and market does not like scenarios, and calculate the expected NPV

- your recommendation (invest now or wait?) and rationale why supported