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Alphacom has a factory in Melbourne. The expense to run this factory is $ 3 . 5 million per year, and this factory can generate

Alphacom has a factory in Melbourne. The expense to run this factory is $3.5 million per year, and this factory can generate an annual cash flow of $4 million in perpetuity.
Because of a new regulation that the government will announce shortly, the cash flow next year will either increase by 20% or decrease by 21%, with a probability of 20% and 80%, respectively. Alphacom's CEO expects the above change to be permanent.
The cost of capital for this factory is estimated to be 6.7%. Alphacom can shut down the factory at the cost of $0.5 million at any time. The value of the option to abandon the factory will be closest to:
a. $0.18 million
b. $4.28 million
c. $9.85 million
d. $3.66 million

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