Question
An oil and gas industry produces firm produces oil. The profit function for the firm is give as: profit = ($100-variable cost)*gallons oil sold-fixed cost
An oil and gas industry produces firm produces oil. The profit function for the firm is give as: profit = ($100-variable cost)*gallons oil sold-fixed cost
The current production rate is 5 million barrels per year. The firm can expand the production by conducting further stepwise exploration, adding I million or 2 million barrels per year with the following cost implications:
Scenarios | Capacity (barrel/year) | Fixed cost | Variable cost |
Current | 6 million | $ 10 million | $50 /barrel |
Add 1 million | 7 million | $16 million | $45 /barrel |
Add 2 million | 8 million | $20 million | $42 /barrel |
Annual demand of oil is probabilistic with following distribution
Oil demand | Probability |
4 million | 0.1 |
5 million | 0.2 |
6 million | 0.3 |
7 million | 0.3 |
8 million | 0.4 |
9 million | 0.4 |
10 million | 0.2 |
12 million | 0.1 |
Develop a spreadsheet profit model for each scenario, and average profit for each scenario (using same random number).
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