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An oil company purchased an option on land in Alaska. Preliminary geologic studies assigned the following prior probabilities. P (high-quality oil) = 0.40 P (medium-quality
An oil company purchased an option on land in Alaska. Preliminary geologic studies assigned the following prior probabilities.
P(high-quality oil) = 0.40 P(medium-quality oil) = 0.20 P(no oil) = 0.40
If required, round your answers to two decimal places.
(a) What is the probability of finding oil? (b) After 200 feet of drilling on the first well, a soil test is taken. The probabilities of finding the particular type of soil identified by the test are as follows. P(soil | high-quality oil) = 0.20 P(soil | medium-quality oil) = 0.80 P(soil | no oil) = 0.20
How should the firm interpret the soil test? The probability of finding oil is good. Given the probability of finding good soil, the oil company is more likely to find - Select your answer -medium-qualityhigh-qualitynoItem 2 oil. What are the revised probabilities? Events P(Ai) P(S | Ai) P(Ai S) P(Ai | S) High Quality (A1) Medium Quality (A2) No Oil (A3) P(S)=
An oil company purchased an option on land in Alaska. Preliminary geologic studies assigned the following prior probabilities.
P(high-quality oil) | = | 0.40 |
P(medium-quality oil) | = | 0.20 |
P(no oil) | = | 0.40 |
If required, round your answers to two decimal places.
(a) | What is the probability of finding oil? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(b) | After 200 feet of drilling on the first well, a soil test is taken. The probabilities of finding the particular type of soil identified by the test are as follows. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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How should the firm interpret the soil test? | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The probability of finding oil is good. Given the probability of finding good soil, the oil company is more likely to find - Select your answer -medium-qualityhigh-qualitynoItem 2 oil. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
What are the revised probabilities? | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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