Answered step by step
Verified Expert Solution
Link Copied!

Question

1 Approved Answer

An oil company purchased an option on land in Alaska. Preliminary geologic studies assigned the following prior probabilities. a. What is the probability of

image

An oil company purchased an option on land in Alaska. Preliminary geologic studies assigned the following prior probabilities. a. What is the probability of finding oil (to 2 decimals)? P(high-quality oil) = 0.50 P(medium-quality oil) = 0.25 P(no oil) = 0.25 b. After 200 feet of drilling on the first well, a soil test is taken. The probabilities of finding the particular type of soil identified by the test are given below. P(soil high-quality oil) = 0.25 P(soil medium-quality oil) = 0.85 P(soil no oil) = 0.25 Given the soil found in the test, use Bayes' theorem to compute the following revised probabilities (to 4 decimals). P(high-quality oil soil) P(medium-quality oil soil) P(no oil soil) What is the new probability of finding oil (to 4 decimals)? According to the revised probabilities, what is the quality of oil that is most likely to be found? Select your answer - +

Step by Step Solution

There are 3 Steps involved in it

Step: 1

a To calculate the probability of finding oil we need to add up the probabilities of finding highqua... blur-text-image

Get Instant Access to Expert-Tailored Solutions

See step-by-step solutions with expert insights and AI powered tools for academic success

Step: 2

blur-text-image

Step: 3

blur-text-image

Ace Your Homework with AI

Get the answers you need in no time with our AI-driven, step-by-step assistance

Get Started

Recommended Textbook for

Quantitative Methods For Business

Authors: David Anderson, Dennis Sweeney, Thomas Williams, Jeffrey Cam

11th Edition

978-0324651812, 324651813, 978-0324651751

More Books

Students also viewed these Accounting questions